BB 56–Wait and See

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Welcome to the continuing monthly EVE Blog Banters and our 56th edition! For more details about what the blog banters are visit the Blog Banter page.
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With Kornos and the upcoming industry changes following 6 weeks behind it, things are set for a vast upheaval in the coming months. Before he packed his bags and left Mord Fiddle asked some interesting questions:

The common wisdom in EVE Online is that, beyond the odd high-value moon or Faction Warfare scam, there’s little in low sec or NPC null sec to the attract ongoing attention of the big-dogs of null sec, with their large fleets and super cap doctrines. It’s assumed that NPC space simply isn’t worth the bother of controlling even if one could control it.
Is this about to change?
The shift in industrial inefficiencies from high sec to NPC low sec/null sec has begun, adding value to NPC space outside of high sec. In the recent B0TLRD accords CFC claimed two NPC null sec regions, Venal and Syndicate, as part of the CFC sphere of influence.
What is the future of low sec and NPC null sec as the economic center of gravity shifts from high sec toward null sec?

Also, you can take this banter as a chance to discuss the ramifications of the style of play in low sec and NPC null sec if it does happen that major industry shifts there.

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There is a big assumption in this blogbanter that industry will move to null/low sec. So far most players live in hisec and will always continue to do so. When they can’t do what they want in hisec they’ll leave the game. So let’s wait and see how things pan out once the expansion hits. It’ll be a while till all the current stock runs out and the newly produced goods will start flowing into the market. Prices will probably increase, from what I read so far on Kronos. I don’t really see a major shift coming.

Except for a few items here and there and fuel blocks, I don’t do much industry any more, nor do I live in low or null sec, so I don’t have much experience on the subject. I don’t see people moving to low any time soon. One blown up freighter or transport will decimate the little more profit that can be made. Will the null sec people flood the market with cheaper ships (than produced in hisec) ? I seriously doubt that as well. But as I said, we’ll see how it all pans out, it’ll be interesting to watch ! Shame the Eve economist left Eve Sad smile. I still miss the quarterly economic newsletter.

More participants at The Inner Sanctum.